Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | CIN -240 TLSA +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -1.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -0.9 (-4.9) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -1.0 (-5.0) | 134.7 (+1.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -0.4 (-4.4) | 132.8 (+3.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -0.4 (-3.6) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | CIN 81 – 55 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2022 | TLSA 83 – 77 CIN |
| Jan 21, 2022 | CIN 90 – 69 TLSA |
| Feb 25, 2021 | CIN 70 – 69 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#108) | 5.4 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#174) | 1.07 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#156) | 1.03 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#141) | 0.488 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.3% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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