Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -110 CIN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TLSA -3.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -4.0 (-5.0) | 130.3 (+8.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -1.8 (-2.8) | 129.0 (+10.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -3.0 (-4.0) | 130.5 (+8.5) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -3.7 (-4.7) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | CIN 81 – 55 TLSA |
| Feb 13, 2022 | TLSA 83 – 77 CIN |
| Jan 21, 2022 | CIN 90 – 69 TLSA |
| Jan 2, 2021 | TLSA 70 – 66 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-12 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#120) | 2.0 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#88) | 1.01 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#107) | 1.17 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#149) | 0.549 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.