Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -1600 MINN +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +35 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -20.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -16.2 (+18.8) | 130.3 (+14.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -14.7 (+20.3) | 132.3 (+12.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -14.6 (+20.4) | 130.5 (+14.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -15.4 (+19.6) | 129.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-17 |
| Home | 14-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#14) | -1.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#50) | -0.32 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#47) | -0.63 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#55) | 0.463 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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