Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +310 RUTG -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +1 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -12.6 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (+27.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -11.0 (+12.0) | 131.7 (+17.3) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -11.8 (+12.8) | 133.5 (+15.5) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -10.3 (+11.3) | 130.4 (+18.6) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -10.9 (+11.9) | 130.5 (+18.5) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Feb 2, 2023 | RUTG 90 – 55 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-6 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 61.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#222) | 12.9 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#239) | 1.64 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#248) | 1.95 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#297) | 0.550 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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