It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Big Ten Conference · Williams Arena · February 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MINN -8.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money MINN -410 / RUTG +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual MINN +19 141 Won
Massey MINN -9.3 (+9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 136.4 (+4.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MINN -7.8 (+11.2) 134.8 (+6.2) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MINN -7.4 (+11.6) 136.8 (+4.2) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MINN -7.2 (+11.8) 132.9 (+8.1) 77% ✓
Baseline ML MINN -7.7 (+11.3) 134.0 (+7.0) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 RUTG 72 – 67 MINN
Mar 9, 2025 RUTG 75 – 67 MINN
Feb 18, 2024 MINN 81 – 70 RUTG
Mar 3, 2023 MINN 75 – 74 RUTG
Feb 2, 2023 RUTG 90 – 55 MINN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN RUTG
Overall 15-18 14-20
Conference 8-12 6-14
Home 13-4 10-7
Away 2-9 2-9
Neutral 0-5 2-4
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 69.4 70.5
Avg Pts Against 68.5 75.3
Massey 7.8 (#80) 1.4 (#142)
Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#93) 0.61 (#108)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.38 (#89) 0.68 (#114)
RPI 0.506 (#163) 0.504 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN RUTG
FG% 45.2% 41.6%
3PT% 33.3% 32.0%
REB / G 32.6 34.2
OREB / G 9.4 11.7
AST / TO 1.59 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 47.2%
TOV% 16.9% 15.9%
ORB% 29.0% 32.2%
FT Rate 27.2% 27.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 16.6%
DRB% 70.6% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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