Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -250 RUTG +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -4.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.2 (+6.8) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -2.4 (+8.6) | 138.2 (+12.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -3.8 (+7.2) | 132.6 (+18.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -3.3 (+7.7) | 133.0 (+18.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
| Feb 2, 2023 | RUTG 90 – 55 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#73) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#97) | 1.47 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#86) | 1.86 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.549 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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