Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -225 MINN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -5.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -5.0 (+3.0) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.0 (+3.0) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.3 (+2.7) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -4.7 (+3.3) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
| Feb 2, 2023 | RUTG 90 – 55 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#73) | 5.9 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#72) | 1.33 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#64) | 1.79 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#116) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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