Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -265 RUTG +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MINN -6.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -5.3 (-10.3) | 133.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -5.0 (-10.0) | 132.5 (+6.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.0 (-10.0) | 133.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -4.8 (-9.8) | 134.2 (+4.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
| Feb 2, 2023 | RUTG 90 – 55 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#72) | 2.3 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#81) | 0.68 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#78) | 0.79 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#143) | 0.500 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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