Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +125 GW -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GW -0.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -0.3 (+11.3) | 149.7 (-10.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -0.8 (+11.8) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -0.0 (+11.0) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -0.2 (+11.2) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | GW 104 – 77 LAS |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GW 77 – 55 LAS |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GW 71 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAS 73 – 67 GW |
| Mar 12, 2024 | LAS 61 – 60 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#261) | -0.7 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#255) | -0.11 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#281) | -0.17 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#239) | 0.495 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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