All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–5 on winners spread MAE 9.0 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Boston College -4.8 140.4 31% 54–62 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami +4.2 149.1 72% 83–92 ✓
Wake Forest @ Duke +8.5 149.2 80% 73–75 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +11.4 134.6 87% 66–72 ✓
Nebraska @ Illinois +10.8 135.9 87% 56–72 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +5.3 140.0 73% 70–81 ✓
VCU @ Davidson -2.9 135.9 35% 61–59 ✓
Saint Louis @ Fordham -0.1 147.4 54% 65–75 ✗
Ohio @ Eastern Michigan -8.0 158.0 25% 79–90 ✗
Central Michigan @ Kent State +17.4 141.1 90% 69–81 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) -8.8 159.6 20% 81–78 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green -1.4 152.9 43% 69–60 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo -0.1 149.7 41% 81–64 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +1.4 150.5 59% 73–59 ✗
Kansas State @ Kansas +4.5 148.0 69% 78–90 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -13.1 148.2 17% 90–76 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +15.5 157.1 88% 44–101 ✓
West Virginia @ TCU +5.5 146.1 76% 72–76 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland +1.8 136.8 65% 55–66 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +3.8 150.1 69% 70–86 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss -2.1 137.2 41% 75–66 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +13.2 134.2 88% 81–85 ✓
UNLV @ Colorado State +0.3 147.7 49% 83–71 ✗
Boise State @ Air Force -7.3 134.6 25% 59–52 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +1.4 131.4 59% 62–85 ✓
San Diego State @ Nevada +1.5 144.0 62% 66–75 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +11.1 146.7 87% 50–66 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +10.5 135.9 83% 60–80 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +3.8 157.6 71% 83–85 ✓
Creighton @ Georgetown -12.7 151.6 15% 63–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.