Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU +125 BALL -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | BALL -1.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -1.8 (-7.2) | 151.5 (-22.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -1.7 (-7.3) | 150.1 (-21.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -2.1 (-6.9) | 150.5 (-21.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -1.4 (-7.6) | 152.9 (-23.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 52 BALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BGSU 61 – 52 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BALL 91 – 69 BGSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BGSU 80 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 31, 2024 | BGSU 81 – 72 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#244) | 0.9 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#262) | 0.43 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#261) | 0.37 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#273) | 0.513 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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