Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -700 BALL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +25 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -15.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -11.8 (+13.2) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -10.7 (+14.3) | 134.9 (-5.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -11.0 (+14.0) | 134.5 (-5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -11.5 (+13.5) | 134.5 (-5.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | BGSU 61 – 52 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BALL 91 – 69 BGSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BGSU 80 – 70 BALL |
| Jan 31, 2024 | BGSU 81 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BALL 93 – 72 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#118) | -9.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#163) | -1.69 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#147) | -2.32 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#174) | 0.408 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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