Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -250 BALL +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -4.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.0 (+6.0) | 141.2 (+8.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -2.9 (+7.1) | 141.5 (+8.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -3.7 (+6.3) | 139.8 (+10.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.8 (+6.2) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 52 BALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BGSU 61 – 52 BALL |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BALL 91 – 69 BGSU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | BGSU 81 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BALL 93 – 72 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#234) | -4.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#194) | -0.87 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | -1.01 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#212) | 0.450 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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