Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -600 MRST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -15.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -10.6 (-4.6) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -9.4 (-3.4) | 136.5 (+1.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -11.5 (-5.5) | 135.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -11.4 (-5.4) | 134.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -8.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#120) | -1.58 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#113) | -2.05 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.419 (#318) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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