Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -125 QUIN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -4.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -1.8 (+5.2) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -3.2 (+3.8) | 136.5 (-5.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -2.8 (+4.2) | 136.1 (-5.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -3.0 (+4.0) | 137.6 (-6.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 55 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 9-5 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#226) | -3.4 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#100) | -0.05 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#142) | -0.10 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#130) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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