Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -175 QUIN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -3.8 (+3.2) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -2.5 (+4.5) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -3.0 (+4.0) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -3.4 (+3.6) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 55 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#149) | -1.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#191) | 0.38 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#191) | 0.53 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#146) | 0.534 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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