Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -142 MRST +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -3.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -3.8 (+2.2) | 137.1 (-15.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -3.7 (+2.3) | 138.3 (-16.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -3.7 (+2.3) | 139.6 (-17.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -3.6 (+2.4) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | QUIN 66 – 55 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.9 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#163) | 1.2 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#72) | -0.07 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#91) | -0.26 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#95) | 0.502 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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