The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Quinnipiac Bobcats
75 77
FINAL Neutral Conference MAAC
Marist Red Foxes
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall (Neutral) · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money QUIN -130 / MRST +110
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual MRST +2 152 Lost
Massey MRST -1.8 (-0.2)
Massey Totals 136.0 (+16.0)
Bradley-Terry 55%
Weighted B-T 61%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -1.0 (-3.0) 131.8 (+20.2) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML MRST -0.1 (-1.9) 129.9 (+22.1) 51%
Baseline ML MRST -0.5 (-1.5) 130.9 (+21.1) 51%
Baseline Plus ML MRST -0.3 (-1.7) 133.2 (+18.8) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 MRST 7164 QUIN
Dec 29, 2025 QUIN 6458 MRST
Jan 5, 2025 MRST 6962 QUIN
Mar 8, 2024 QUIN 7364 MRST
Jan 13, 2024 QUIN 6655 MRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN MRST
Overall 19-13 19-12
Conference 12-8 12-8
Home 10-5 11-4
Away 9-7 7-7
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 68.9
Avg Pts Against 72.6 63.9
Massey -3.2 (#216) -1.3 (#184)
Bradley-Terry -0.12 (#174) -0.33 (#203)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#166) -0.47 (#205)
RPI 0.527 (#122) 0.499 (#192)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN MRST
FG% 42.6% 43.9%
3PT% 33.8% 31.6%
REB / G 36.3 35.2
OREB / G 12.4 9.7
AST / TO 1.17 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 49.5%
TOV% 15.8% 16.6%
ORB% 34.0% 28.4%
FT Rate 23.0% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 45.8%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 19.6%
DRB% 68.2% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 26.0%

Game Analysis

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