Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -125 QUIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +11 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -5.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -0.7 (-11.7) | 136.1 (-15.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -1.1 (-12.1) | 135.8 (-14.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -2.1 (-13.1) | 138.5 (-17.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -1.7 (-12.7) | 140.4 (-19.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#195) | -2.6 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#229) | 0.34 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#233) | 0.09 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#268) | 0.495 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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