Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -125 WVU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -4.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -5.2 (-1.2) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.8 (-1.8) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -5.5 (-1.5) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -4.8 (-0.8) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#15) | 13.2 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#14) | 1.98 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#8) | 2.81 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#44) | 0.593 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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