Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -300 TCU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -7.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -5.5 (+12.5) | 132.2 (-4.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -4.6 (+13.4) | 131.9 (-3.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -4.8 (+13.2) | 130.2 (-2.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -5.9 (+12.1) | 131.3 (-3.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | TCU 76 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#45) | 8.6 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#49) | 1.69 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#53) | 1.77 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#58) | 0.562 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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