Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -120 WVU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -1.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -0.9 (+5.9) | 130.7 (-5.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -0.8 (+4.2) | 130.9 (-5.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.0 (+6.0) | 129.2 (-4.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -0.5 (+5.5) | 129.4 (-4.4) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | TCU 76 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#68) | 13.5 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#73) | 2.25 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#83) | 2.58 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#82) | 0.583 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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