Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -1000 WVU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -15.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -13.7 (+2.3) | 152.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -12.8 (+3.2) | 151.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -12.5 (+3.5) | 151.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -12.7 (+3.3) | 152.8 (-6.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | TCU 76 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#27) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#41) | 0.02 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#48) | 0.27 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#77) | 0.496 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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