Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -218 WVU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +6 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -4.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -4.7 (+1.3) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.0 (+1.0) | 132.4 (-18.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -5.3 (+0.7) | 132.2 (-18.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.1 (+0.9) | 133.6 (-19.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | TCU 76 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#48) | 9.6 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#47) | 1.75 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#43) | 2.41 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#78) | 0.537 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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