Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +170 TCU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +12 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -8.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -7.6 (-4.4) | 152.4 (+21.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -6.9 (-5.1) | 150.7 (+23.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -7.2 (-4.8) | 150.1 (+23.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -7.0 (-5.0) | 151.7 (+22.3) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | TCU 76 – 72 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-9 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | 13.5 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#160) | 1.95 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | 2.30 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#201) | 0.549 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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