Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UML -900 UALB +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +16 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UML -15.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -10.7 (+5.3) | 145.3 (-29.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -10.6 (+5.4) | 142.4 (-26.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -11.5 (+4.5) | 146.7 (-30.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -11.1 (+4.9) | 146.7 (-30.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 17-0 | 5-6 |
| Away | 9-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | -10.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#154) | -2.22 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#154) | -2.66 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#142) | 0.416 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.