Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -250 FRES +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -2.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.6 (+21.4) | 130.4 (+16.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -1.8 (+21.2) | 127.7 (+19.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.5 (+21.5) | 131.1 (+15.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.4 (+21.6) | 131.4 (+15.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WYO 92 – 82 FRES |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FRES 63 – 60 WYO |
| Mar 5, 2025 | FRES 62 – 58 WYO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WYO 83 – 72 FRES |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FRES 77 – 73 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 1-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#178) | 0.2 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#253) | -0.35 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#240) | -0.11 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#236) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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