Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BC +155 CLEM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -5.8 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.9 (+12.9) | 139.3 (-23.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -4.9 (+12.9) | 138.5 (-22.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.5 (+13.5) | 139.4 (-23.4) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -4.8 (+12.8) | 140.4 (-24.4) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | CLEM 74 – 50 BC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CLEM 78 – 69 BC |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BC 76 – 55 CLEM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CLEM 89 – 78 BC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | CLEM 70 – 60 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#207) | 7.6 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#169) | 2.17 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#156) | 2.46 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#194) | 0.580 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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