I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Boston College Eagles
69 – 78
FINAL Conference
Clemson Tigers
Atlantic Coast Conference · Conte Forum · March 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -15.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money BC +800 / CLEM -1600
Model Predictions
Spread Total BC win
Actual CLEM +9 147 Lost
Massey CLEM -14.6 (+5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 143.1 (+3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 7% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 4% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -13.3 (+4.3) 140.3 (+6.7) 14% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -13.0 (+4.0) 140.4 (+6.6) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -13.5 (+4.5) 138.8 (+8.2) 14% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -12.6 (+3.6) 140.4 (+6.6) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 14, 2026 CLEM 74 – 50 BC
Mar 14, 2024 BC 76 – 55 CLEM
Jan 13, 2024 CLEM 89 – 78 BC
Feb 1, 2023 BC 62 – 54 CLEM
Feb 26, 2022 CLEM 70 – 60 BC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BC CLEM
Overall 12-19 27-7
Conference 4-16 18-2
Home 9-8 15-2
Away 0-10 9-3
Neutral 3-1 3-2
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 70.4 76.1
Avg Pts Against 75.8 65.8
Massey -1.8 (#191) 16.1 (#26)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#187) 2.96 (#15)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.29 (#188) 3.66 (#18)
RPI 0.463 (#257) 0.623 (#13)
Shooting & Four Factors BC CLEM
FG% 43.3% 47.0%
3PT% 35.2% 38.4%
REB / G 34.8 35.1
OREB / G 10.3 11.0
AST / TO 0.95 1.47
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 54.5%
TOV% 17.5% 15.4%
ORB% 29.0% 33.4%
FT Rate 22.4% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 19.9%
DRB% 70.8% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 26.5% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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