Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -163 NIU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -3.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -1.8 (-15.8) | 145.6 (-13.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -1.4 (-15.4) | 148.2 (-16.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -1.4 (-15.4) | 150.5 (-18.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -2.0 (-16.0) | 146.5 (-14.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NIU 85 – 65 WMU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WMU 74 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WMU 72 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | WMU 95 – 90 NIU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NIU 81 – 53 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#277) | -6.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#334) | -0.80 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#317) | -1.02 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#325) | 0.470 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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