Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -700 NIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -13.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -9.7 (-7.7) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -10.3 (-8.3) | 145.0 (-3.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -10.3 (-8.3) | 146.1 (-4.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -9.5 (-7.5) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NIU 85 – 65 WMU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WMU 74 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | WMU 95 – 90 NIU |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NIU 81 – 53 WMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | NIU 73 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 6-9 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#277) | -17.3 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#333) | -2.87 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#330) | -3.45 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#304) | 0.373 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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