Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NIU -163 WMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +28 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -6.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -5.4 (+22.6) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -5.6 (+22.4) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -5.7 (+22.3) | 150.4 (-16.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -5.4 (+22.6) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | NIU 85 – 65 WMU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WMU 74 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WMU 72 – 70 NIU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | WMU 95 – 90 NIU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | NIU 73 – 59 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#258) | -7.5 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#241) | -2.41 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#242) | -2.65 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#238) | 0.389 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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