Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | KU -450 KSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +12 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.1 (+6.9) | 147.7 (+20.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -5.9 (+6.1) | 146.3 (+21.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.0 (+7.0) | 147.5 (+20.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.5 (+7.5) | 148.0 (+20.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 85 KSU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | KU 86 – 62 KSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU 81 – 73 KU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU 84 – 74 KSU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | KU 90 – 68 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#10) | 13.5 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#3) | 3.35 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#5) | 3.81 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.662 (#2) | 0.645 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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