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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia
@
Syracuse
|
-3.3 | 136.9 | 38% | 67–62 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
The Citadel
|
+1.4 | 139.1 | 53% | 76–75 | ✗ |
Loyola Maryland
@
Colgate
|
+13.9 | 140.0 | 88% | 63–76 | ✓ |
North Carolina Central
@
Norfolk State
|
+3.1 | 143.6 | 68% | 71–77 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
Howard
|
+10.6 | 158.0 | 86% | 74–100 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Morgan State
|
+0.9 | 143.6 | 53% | 72–58 | ✗ |
Alabama A&M
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+0.3 | 140.6 | 53% | 77–88 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Coppin State
|
+4.5 | 151.0 | 56% | 71–66 | ✗ |
South Dakota State
@
Kansas City
|
-0.2 | 132.1 | 44% | 67–66 | ✓ |
South Dakota
@
Oral Roberts
|
+18.4 | 153.1 | 89% | 53–103 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Grambling
|
+4.8 | 137.1 | 72% | 63–60 | ✗ |
Baylor
@
Texas
|
+5.2 | 151.6 | 73% | 71–76 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Texas Tech
|
-1.2 | 132.9 | 46% | 77–80 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Southern
|
+9.3 | 144.7 | 82% | 62–73 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Florida A&M
|
-1.4 | 128.8 | 38% | 58–69 | ✗ |
Mississippi State
@
South Carolina
|
-12.5 | 131.8 | 14% | 66–51 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.