Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -700 SCST +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +26 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -11.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -10.6 (+15.4) | 156.1 (+17.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -9.9 (+16.1) | 155.5 (+18.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -10.8 (+15.2) | 154.9 (+19.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -10.6 (+15.4) | 158.0 (+16.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#264) | -13.3 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#203) | -2.36 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#224) | -3.30 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#228) | 0.382 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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