Betting Lines
| Spread | ALST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | FAMU +140 ALST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -0.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALST -2.3 (+13.3) | 130.7 (-3.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALST -1.2 (+12.2) | 129.2 (-2.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALST -1.8 (+12.8) | 127.8 (-0.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALST -1.4 (+12.4) | 128.8 (-1.8) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAMU 76 – 63 ALST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | ALST 79 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ALST 60 – 59 FAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | ALST 67 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAMU 73 – 65 ALST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-15 | 2-18 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.2 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#358) | -12.3 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#362) | -1.84 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.24 (#363) | -2.26 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#361) | 0.398 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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