They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Moore Gymnasium (FL) · January 31, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BCU -0.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money BCU +100 / AAMU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total BCU win
Actual BCU +11 165 Won
Massey AAMU -0.4 (+11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 143.7 (+21.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML AAMU -0.1 (+11.1) 141.5 (+23.5) 49% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BCU -0.1 (+10.9) 139.5 (+25.5) 45% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BCU -0.5 (+10.5) 140.5 (+24.5) 50% ✓
Baseline ML BCU -0.3 (+10.7) 140.6 (+24.4) 53% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 BCU 85 – 76 AAMU
Feb 3, 2026 BCU 80 – 62 AAMU
Feb 22, 2025 BCU 68 – 64 AAMU
Feb 4, 2025 BCU 89 – 75 AAMU
Feb 24, 2024 BCU 63 – 61 AAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BCU AAMU
Overall 12-20 15-18
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 8-5 9-8
Away 3-13 5-8
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.3 68.0
Avg Pts Against 76.6 71.0
Massey -14.5 (#354) -10.5 (#336)
Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#338) -2.22 (#342)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.72 (#345) -2.87 (#348)
RPI 0.371 (#354) 0.364 (#355)
Shooting & Four Factors BCU AAMU
FG% 41.0% 41.7%
3PT% 34.3% 34.3%
REB / G 31.9 31.4
OREB / G 9.9 10.1
AST / TO 0.76 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 47.2%
TOV% 19.5% 20.9%
ORB% 27.4% 28.0%
FT Rate 21.3% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.7% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 22.7%
DRB% 65.9% 63.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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