Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +120 BCU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -0.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -0.1 (-18.1) | 146.3 (-4.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -0.0 (-18.0) | 142.0 (+0.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.2 (-18.2) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -0.5 (-18.5) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | AAMU 72 – 68 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#306) | -7.2 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#263) | -0.41 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#266) | -0.72 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#287) | 0.492 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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