Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +105 BCU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -1.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -2.3 (+6.3) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -0.9 (+4.9) | 146.7 (-6.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -2.1 (+6.1) | 148.4 (-8.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -1.9 (+5.9) | 147.1 (-7.1) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -14.6 (#352) | -9.7 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#335) | -1.28 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#343) | -1.59 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#338) | 0.418 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
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