Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +105 BCU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -6.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -4.1 (+0.1) | 146.1 (-14.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -5.9 (+1.9) | 145.1 (-13.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -5.9 (+1.9) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -5.5 (+1.5) | 147.9 (-15.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | AAMU 72 – 68 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#360) | -7.0 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#358) | -1.03 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#358) | -1.34 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#356) | 0.458 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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