Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -150 AAMU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -6.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -3.3 (-1.3) | 143.0 (-19.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -3.8 (-1.8) | 141.5 (-17.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -4.3 (-2.3) | 145.5 (-21.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -3.5 (-1.5) | 142.8 (-18.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | AAMU 72 – 68 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#320) | -12.9 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#295) | -1.61 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#298) | -2.28 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#321) | 0.424 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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