Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BCU -258 AAMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BCU -6.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.4 (+4.6) | 138.7 (+22.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -5.5 (+3.5) | 139.9 (+21.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -4.0 (+5.0) | 142.0 (+19.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.2 (+4.8) | 139.1 (+21.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | AAMU 72 – 68 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#278) | -10.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#223) | -0.93 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#223) | -1.38 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#189) | 0.456 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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