Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -450 JKST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -10.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -9.4 (+1.6) | 145.6 (-10.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -8.3 (+2.7) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -9.8 (+1.2) | 144.9 (-9.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -9.3 (+1.7) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SOU 96 – 91 JKST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SOU 91 – 89 JKST |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SOU 72 – 63 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2022 | SOU 75 – 64 JKST |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JKST 57 – 53 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#218) | -9.4 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#211) | -1.51 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#218) | -2.44 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#196) | 0.420 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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