Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -125 JKST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +4 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -1.1 (-5.1) | 138.6 (-28.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -2.2 (-6.2) | 133.1 (-23.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -0.9 (-4.9) | 136.3 (-26.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -1.7 (-5.7) | 135.9 (-25.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SOU 96 – 91 JKST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SOU 91 – 89 JKST |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SOU 72 – 63 JKST |
| Jan 31, 2023 | SOU 73 – 62 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2022 | SOU 75 – 64 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 11-0 |
| Home | 5-2 | 6-0 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#292) | -8.2 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#301) | -0.67 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#309) | -1.37 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#262) | 0.460 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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