Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -3.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -3.4 (-7.6) | 134.4 (+4.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -3.3 (-7.7) | 131.8 (+7.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -4.4 (-6.6) | 132.1 (+6.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -4.8 (-6.2) | 132.8 (+6.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SOU 96 – 91 JKST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SOU 91 – 89 JKST |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SOU 72 – 63 JKST |
| Jan 31, 2023 | SOU 73 – 62 JKST |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JKST 57 – 53 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-15 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#283) | -0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#314) | -0.23 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#310) | -0.52 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#312) | 0.491 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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