Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -175 SOU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -0.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -0.2 (-8.8) | 147.1 (-12.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -0.0 (-9.0) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -0.2 (-9.2) | 143.7 (-8.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -0.1 (-8.9) | 144.9 (-9.9) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SOU 96 – 91 JKST |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SOU 91 – 89 JKST |
| Jan 31, 2023 | SOU 73 – 62 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2022 | SOU 75 – 64 JKST |
| Feb 9, 2021 | JKST 57 – 53 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#288) | -4.2 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#250) | 0.06 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#272) | -0.31 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#251) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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