Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ORU -1600 SDAK +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +50 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -20.9 (+29.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -17.9 (+32.1) | 153.8 (+2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -15.9 (+34.1) | 154.6 (+1.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -16.6 (+33.4) | 153.5 (+2.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -18.4 (+31.6) | 153.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 11-4 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | -7.5 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#39) | -0.66 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#42) | -1.00 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#26) | 0.452 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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