Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -1600 L-MD +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -17.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -14.4 (-1.4) | 138.1 (+0.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -15.8 (-2.8) | 135.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -13.6 (-0.6) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -13.9 (-0.9) | 140.0 (-1.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | -10.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#132) | -1.71 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#121) | -2.22 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#133) | 0.411 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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