Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -290 L-MD +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -9.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -9.6 (+3.4) | 154.4 (+12.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.7 (+5.3) | 151.8 (+15.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -8.7 (+4.3) | 152.7 (+14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -8.7 (+4.3) | 153.0 (+14.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLG 76 – 62 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#230) | -10.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#245) | -1.98 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#240) | -2.47 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#184) | 0.421 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.