Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -300 L-MD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -5.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.4 (+6.6) | 136.8 (+13.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -4.0 (+10.0) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -3.8 (+10.2) | 140.1 (+9.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -3.5 (+10.5) | 139.8 (+10.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COLG 76 – 62 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#255) | -8.4 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#278) | -1.33 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#273) | -1.69 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.437 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.